Analysis of the efficacy of early treatments for COVID-19.
Treatments do not replace vaccines and other measures. All practical,
effective, and safe means should be used. Elimination of COVID-19 is a race
against viral evolution. No treatment, vaccine, or intervention is 100%
available and effective for all current and future variants. Denying the
efficacy of any method increases the risk of COVID-19 becoming endemic; and
increases mortality, morbidity, and collateral damage.
Treatment |
Improvement (early) |
Studies (early) |
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| BUBudesonide | 82% | 1 |
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| IVMIvermectin | 74% | 26 |
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| CICasirivimab/im.. | 72% | 4 |
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| SSotrovimab | 67% | 1 |
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| RDRemdesivir | 66% | 1 |
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| (H)CQHydroxychloro.. | 65% | 30 |
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| FPVFavipiravir | 38% | 3 |
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Medications approved for early treatment by >2 countries. 56 countries have officially approved early treatment.
For details see global early treatment adoption.
| Random effects meta-analysis of all studies combined (pooled effects, all stages). Treatments with 3 or fewer studies are shown in grey. Pooled results across all stages and outcomes depend on the distribution of stages and outcomes tested - for example late stage treatment may be less effective and if the majority of studies are late stage this may obscure the efficacy of early treatment. Please see the specific stage and outcome analyses. | |||||
| Random effects meta-analysis of early treatment studies (pooled effects). Treatments with 3 or fewer studies are shown in grey. Pooled results across all outcomes are affected by the distribution of outcomes tested, please see detail pages for specific outcome analysis. | |||||
| Random effects meta-analysis of all mortality results (all stages). Treatments with 3 or fewer studies are shown in grey. Pooled results across all stages depend on the distribution of stages tested - for example late stage treatment may be less effective and if the majority of studies are late stage this may obscure the efficacy of early treatment. Please see the specific stage analyses. | |||||
| Random effects meta-analysis of early treatment mortality results. Treatments with 3 or fewer studies are shown in grey. |
Recent studies (see the individual treatment pages for all studies):
8/5 |
In Silico | et al., Research Square, doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-755838/v1 (Preprint) | A Computational Study of Ivermectin and Doxycycline Combination Drug Against SARS-CoV-2 Infection | |
| Details In silico study showing strong binding affinity of ivermectin and doxycycline for SARS-CoV-2 main protease 3CLpro, and increased binding affinity for the combination of both. | ||||
8/4 |
PrEP | et al., medRxiv, doi:10.1101/2021.08.02.21260750 (Preprint) | cases, ↑49.3%, p=0.02 | Hydroxychloroquine Prophylaxis against Coronavirus Disease-19: Practice Outcomes among Health-Care Workers |
| Details Observational study of 927 low-risk healthcare workers in India, 731 volunteering for weekly HCQ prophylaxis, showing higher cases with treatment in unadjusted results. Clinical outcome was in the protocol, however no information on which.. | ||||
8/4 |
Late | et al., Saudi Pharmaceutical Journal, doi:10.1016/j.jsps.2021.08.008 (Peer Reviewed) | death, ↑39.2%, p=0.52 | Clinical characteristics and treatment outcomes of severe (ICU) COVID-19 patients in Saudi Arabia: A single centre study |
| Details Retrospective 171 ICU patients in Saudi Arabia showing no significant difference for HCQ treatment in unadjusted results. | ||||
8/3 |
Review | et al., New Microbes and New Infections, doi:10.1016/j.nmni.2021.100924 (Review) (Peer Reviewed) | review | Ivermectin: a multifaceted drug of Nobel prize-honored distinction with indicated efficacy against a new global scourge, COVID-19 |
| Details Review concluding that the evidence supports worldwide use of ivermectin for COVID-19, complementary to immunization. Authors note that it is likely non-epitope specific, possibly retaining efficacy with new viral strains. They note that .. | ||||
7/31 |
Late | et al., medRxiv, doi:10.1101/2021.07.30.21261220 (Preprint) | death, ↓10.8%, p=1.00 | COVID-19 in hospitalized patients in 4 hospitals in San Isidro, Buenos Aires, Argentina |
| Details Retrospective 668 hospitalized patients in Argentina, 18 treated with HCQ, not showing a significant difference in unadjusted results. | ||||
7/30 |
Levels | et al., Archives of Microbiology, doi:10.1007/s00203-021-02482-5 (Peer Reviewed) | cases, ↓66.1%, p<0.0001 | The sufficient vitamin D and albumin level have a protective effect on COVID-19 infection |
| Details Case control study with 191 COVID-19 patients and 203 healthy controls in Iran, showing an association between vitamin D deficiency and COVID-19 infection and severity. 84.4% of COVID-19 patients had vitamin D deficiency. | ||||
7/30 |
Late | et al., Clinical Drug Investigation, doi:10.1007/s40261-021-01061-2 (Peer Reviewed) | ventilation, ↑7.8%, p=0.93 | Acetylsalicylic Acid Compared with Enoxaparin for the Prevention of Thrombosis and Mechanical Ventilation in COVID-19 Patients: A Retrospective Cohort Study |
| Details Retrospective 225 hospitalized patients in Egypt, showing significantly lower thromboembolic events with aspirin treatment, but no significant difference in the need for mechanical ventilation. | ||||
7/29 |
Meta | et al., The International Journal of Clinical Practice, doi:10.1111/ijcp.14675 (Peer Reviewed) (meta analysis) | meta-analysis | The Role of Vitamin D in the Age of COVID-19: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis |
| Details Systematic review and meta analysis of 23 studies, finding significantly higher risk of COVID-19 cases and severity with vitamin D deficiency. Mortality risk was higher with deficiency, but not reaching statistical significance, OR 1.6 [0.. | ||||
7/29 |
Early, PrEP | et al., The Journal of Steroid Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, doi:0.1016/j.jsbmb.2021.105958 (Peer Reviewed) | death, ↓64.2%, p=0.002 | Vitamin D supplementation prior to or during COVID-19 associated with better 3-month survival in geriatric patients: Extension phase of the GERIA-COVID study |
| Details Report on extended results from the GERIA-COVID study, showing significantly lower mortality at 3 months with vitamin D treatment. Results combine prophylaxis and early treatment. | ||||
7/29 |
Early | et al., medRxiv, doi:10.1101/2021.07.25.21260838 (Preprint) | no recov., ↓51.6%, p=0.44 | Doxycycline is a safe alternative to Hydroxychloroquine + Azithromycin to prevent clinical worsening and hospitalization in mild COVID-19 patients: An open label randomized clinical trial (DOXYCOV) |
| Details RCT 194 mild/asymptomatic low-risk patients in Cameroon, 97 treated with HCQ+AZ and 97 treated with doxycycline, showing 2.1% symptomatic patients at day 10 with HCQ+AZ, versus 4.3% with doxycycline, but without statistical significance. .. | ||||
7/28 |
Meta | et al., Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, doi:10.1002/14651858.CD015017.pub2 (Preprint) | meta-analysis | Ivermectin for preventing and treating COVID‐19 |
| Details Outdated very biased retrospective meta analysis cherry-picking a small subset of studies, with a majority of results based on only 1 or 2 studies, showing positive (non-statistically significant) results for 10 of 11 primary outcomes acr.. | ||||
7/27 |
Levels | et al., PLoS ONE, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0255132 (Peer Reviewed) | cases, ↓38.6%, p=0.02 | Lower serum 25(OH)D levels associated with higher risk of COVID-19 infection in U.S. Black women |
| Details Prospective study of vitamin D levels and COVID-19 infection in the Black Women's Health Study, showing higher risk of infection for lower vitamin D levels. Vitamin D levels were from 3-7 years before infection. Levels at the time of infe.. | ||||
7/27 |
PrEP | et al., Epidemiology and Global Health Microbiology and Infectious Disease, doi:10.7554/eLife.68165 (Peer Reviewed) | hosp., ↓9.1%, p=0.003 | Identification of drugs associated with reduced severity of COVID-19: A case-control study in a large population |
| Details Case control study examining medication usage with a healthcare database in Israel, showing lower risk of hospitalization with vitamin D (defined as being picked up within 35 days prior to PCR+). Other patients may have acquired vitamin D.. | ||||
7/25 |
Early | et al., medRxiv, doi:10.1101/2021.07.21.21260223 (Preprint) | Early multidrug treatment of SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) and decreased case fatality rates in Honduras | |
| Details Report on the nationwide implementation of multi-drug COVID-19 inpatient and outpatient treatment protocols in Honduras, showing a case fatality rate decrease from 9.33% to 2.97%. No decrease was seen in Mexico, a similar Latin American c.. | ||||
7/25 |
Early | et al., medRxiv, doi:10.1101/2021.07.24.21261047 (Preprint) | Proxalutamide Improves Inflammatory, Immunologic, and Thrombogenic Markers in Mild-to-Moderate COVID-19 Males and Females: an Exploratory Analysis of a Randomized, Double-Blinded, Placebo-Controlled Trial Early Antiandrogen Therapy (EAT) with Proxalutamide (The EAT-Proxa Biochemical AndroCoV-Trial) | |
| Details Analysis of data from two proxalutamide early treatment RCTs with 445 patients showing substantial improvements in immunologic, inflammatory, thrombotic, and oxygen markers, which may support the observed reduction in hospitalization. | ||||
7/24 |
News | (News) | news | World Ivermectin Day |
| Details Joint event by 22 worldwide organizations. | ||||
7/23 |
Late | et al, European Journal of Clinical Nutrition, doi:10.1038/s41430-021-00984-5 (Peer Reviewed) | death, ↓24.8%, p=0.32 | The effect of high-dose parenteral vitamin D3 on COVID-19-related inhospital mortality in critical COVID-19 patients during intensive care unit admission: an observational cohort study |
| Details Retrospective 175 ICU patients, 113 treated with a single dose of 300,000IU intramuscular cholecalciferol, showing lower mortality with treatment, but not reaching statistical significance. Calcifediol or calcitriol, which avoids several .. | ||||
7/20 |
In Vitro | et al., Viruses, doi:10.3390/v13071411 (Peer Reviewed) (In Vitro) | in vitro | Antiviral Effect of Budesonide against SARS-CoV-2 |
| Details In Vitro study showing dose-dependent inhibition of SARS-CoV-2 with budesonide. | ||||
7/19 |
Late | et al., medRxiv, doi:10.1101/2021.07.15.21260600 (Preprint) | death, ↓44.4%, p=0.03 | Remdesivir for the treatment of COVID-19 disease: A retrospective comparative study of patients treated with and without Remdesivir |
| Details Retrospective 1,262 hospitalized patients, 398 treated with remdesivir, showing unadjusted lower mortality with treatment, and a treatment delay-response relationship. | ||||
7/17 |
PrEP | et al., Journal of Endocrinological Investigation, doi:10.1007/s40618-021-01639-9 (Peer Reviewed) | death, ↑1.0%, p=0.91 | Vitamin D supplementation and COVID-19 risk: a population-based, cohort study |
| Details Retrospective study of cholecalciferol and calcitriol supplementation in Catalonia showing a small but significant lower risk of cases with cholecalciferol, but no significant difference for mortality, or for calcitriol supplementation. S.. | ||||
7/16 |
News | Alliance and British Ivermectin Recommendation Development Group (News) | news | Joint Statement of the FLCCC Alliance and British Ivermectin Recommendation Development Group on Retraction of Early Research on Ivermectin |
| Details News release noting that ivermectin remains effective after excluding Elgazzar et al. Given the large magnitude effects and 61 studies, excluding one study with ~3% of patients does not significantly change the evidence base. | ||||
7/16 |
News | Pharmaceutical News Release (News) | news | Kintor Pharmaceutical Receives Emergency Use Authorization for Proxalutamide for the Treatment of COVID-19 in Paraguay |
| Details News release announcing that proxalutamide has been granted an emergency use authorization for COVID-19 in Paraguay. | ||||
We aim to cover the most promising early treatments for
COVID-19. We use pre-specified effect extraction criteria that prioritizes
more serious outcomes, for details see methods. For specific
outcomes and different treatment stages see the individual pages. Not all
treatments are covered here, effectiveness has been reported for many other
treatments in studies. Of the 797 studies,
560 present results comparing
with a control group, 496 are treatment studies,
64 analyze outcomes based on serum levels, and
47 are meta analyses.
Please send us corrections, updates, or comments. Vaccines and treatments are both extremely valuable and complementary. All
practical, effective, and safe means should be used. Elimination of COVID-19
is a race against viral evolution. No treatment, vaccine, or intervention is
100% available and effective for all current and future variants. Denying the
efficacy of any method increases the risk of COVID-19 becoming endemic; and
increases mortality, morbidity, and collateral damage. We do not provide
medical advice. Before taking any medication, consult a qualified physician
who can provide personalized advice and details of risks and benefits based
on your medical history and situation. Treatment protocols for physicians are
available from the FLCCC.
Thanks for your feedback! Please search before submitting papers and note
that studies are listed under the date they were first available, which may be
the date of an earlier preprint.