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In Silico |
González-Paz et al., Biophysical Chemistry, doi:10.1016/j.bpc.2021.106677 (Peer Reviewed) |
Comparative study of the interaction of ivermectin with proteins of interest associated with SARS-CoV-2: A computational and biophysical approach |
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Details
In SIlico analysis of the components of ivermectin (avermectin-B1a and avermectin-B1b), suggesting different and complementary inhibitory activity of each component, with an affinity of avermectin-B1b for viral structures, and of avermect.. |
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In Silico
In Silico
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| González-Paz et al., Biophysical Chemistry, doi:10.1016/j.bpc.2021.106677 (Peer Reviewed) |
| Comparative study of the interaction of ivermectin with proteins of interest associated with SARS-CoV-2: A computational and biophysical approach |
In SIlico analysis of the components of ivermectin (avermectin-B1a and avermectin-B1b), suggesting different and complementary inhibitory activity of each component, with an affinity of avermectin-B1b for viral structures, and of avermectin-B1a for host structures.
González-Paz et al., 8/19/2021, peer-reviewed, 9 authors.
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Late |
Diaz et al., Clinical Infectious Diseases, doi:10.1093/cid/ciab698 (Peer Reviewed) |
death, ↓34.7%, p=0.01 |
Remdesivir and Mortality in Patients with COVID-19 |
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Retrospective 1138 hospitalized patients in the USA, 286 treated with remdesivir, showing lower mortality with treatment. |
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Late treatment study
Late treatment study
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| Diaz et al., Clinical Infectious Diseases, doi:10.1093/cid/ciab698 (Peer Reviewed) |
| Remdesivir and Mortality in Patients with COVID-19 |
Retrospective 1138 hospitalized patients in the USA, 286 treated with remdesivir, showing lower mortality with treatment.
risk of death, 34.7% lower, RR 0.65, p = 0.01, treatment 33 of 286 (11.5%), control 173 of 852 (20.3%), adjusted, OR converted to RR, multivariable Cox proportional-hazards.
Diaz et al., 8/19/2021, retrospective, USA, North America, peer-reviewed, 45 authors.
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Late |
Korley et al., NEJM, doi:10.1056/NEJMoa2103784 (Peer Reviewed) |
death, ↑396.0%, p=0.22 |
Early Convalescent Plasma for High-Risk Outpatients with Covid-19 |
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Details
RCT 511 emergency department patients, 257 assigned to convalescent plasma, showing no significant difference in outcomes. |
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Late treatment study
Late treatment study
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| Korley et al., NEJM, doi:10.1056/NEJMoa2103784 (Peer Reviewed) |
| Early Convalescent Plasma for High-Risk Outpatients with Covid-19 |
RCT 511 emergency department patients, 257 assigned to convalescent plasma, showing no significant difference in outcomes.
risk of death, 396.0% higher, RR 4.96, p = 0.22, treatment 5 of 250 (2.0%), control 1 of 248 (0.4%).
risk of hospitalization, 10.0% lower, RR 0.90, p = 0.59, treatment 51 of 257 (19.8%), control 56 of 254 (22.0%).
risk of disease progression, 6.0% lower, RR 0.94, p = 0.70, treatment 77 of 257 (30.0%), control 81 of 254 (31.9%).
Korley et al., 8/18/2021, Randomized Controlled Trial, USA, North America, peer-reviewed, 28 authors.
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Meta |
Neil et al., Research Gate, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.19703.75680 (Preprint) (meta analysis) |
meta-analysis |
Bayesian hypothesis testing and hierarchical modelling of ivermectin effectiveness in treating Covid-19 |
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Details
Updated Bayesian analysis of a subset of ivermectin trials showing that there is strong evidence to support a causal link between ivermectin and COVID-19 severity and mortality, and that the result is robust in sensitivity analysis, inclu.. |
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Meta
Meta
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| Neil et al., Research Gate, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.19703.75680 (Preprint) (meta analysis) |
| Bayesian hypothesis testing and hierarchical modelling of ivermectin effectiveness in treating Covid-19 |
Updated Bayesian analysis of a subset of ivermectin trials showing that there is strong evidence to support a causal link between ivermectin and COVID-19 severity and mortality, and that the result is robust in sensitivity analysis, including exclusion of Elgazzar et al.
Neil et al., 8/18/2021, preprint, 2 authors.
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Early |
Baxter et al., medRxiv, doi:0.1101/2021.08.16.21262044 (Preprint) |
hosp., ↓65.3%, p=1.00 |
Rapid initiation of nasal saline irrigation: hospitalizations in COVID-19 patients randomized to alkalinization or povidone-iodine compared to a national dataset |
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Details
Small RCT 79 PCR+ patients 55+ comparing pressure-based nasal irrigation with povidone-iodine and sodium bicarbonate, showing improved recovery with povidone-iodine, and 0/37 COVID-19 related hospitalizations for povidone-iodine compared .. |
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Early treatment study
Early treatment study
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| Baxter et al., medRxiv, doi:0.1101/2021.08.16.21262044 (Preprint) |
| Rapid initiation of nasal saline irrigation: hospitalizations in COVID-19 patients randomized to alkalinization or povidone-iodine compared to a national dataset |
Small RCT 79 PCR+ patients 55+ comparing pressure-based nasal irrigation with povidone-iodine and sodium bicarbonate, showing improved recovery with povidone-iodine, and 0/37 COVID-19 related hospitalizations for povidone-iodine compared to 1/42 for sodium bicarbonate. NCT04559035.
risk of hospitalization, 65.3% lower, RR 0.35, p = 1.00, treatment 0 of 37 (0.0%), control 1 of 42 (2.4%), continuity correction due to zero event.
risk of hospitalization/ER, 79.0% lower, RR 0.21, p = 0.50, treatment 0 of 37 (0.0%), control 2 of 42 (4.8%), continuity correction due to zero event.
risk of no recovery, 56.0% lower, RR 0.44, p = 0.03, treatment 6 of 25 (24.0%), control 18 of 33 (54.5%).
Baxter et al., 8/17/2021, Randomized Controlled Trial, USA, North America, preprint, 9 authors, this trial compares with another treatment - results may be better when compared to placebo.
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Late |
Hosseini et al., medRxiv, doi:10.1101/2021.08.13.21261992 (Preprint) |
Another step toward final call on Remdesivir efficacy as a treatment for hospitalized COVID-19 patients: a multicenter open-label trial |
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Single arm remdesivir trial with 145 hospitalized patients showing no statistically significant difference between "early" and "late" administration, however the treatment delays may be better described as late and ver.. |
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Late treatment study
Late treatment study
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| Hosseini et al., medRxiv, doi:10.1101/2021.08.13.21261992 (Preprint) |
| Another step toward final call on Remdesivir efficacy as a treatment for hospitalized COVID-19 patients: a multicenter open-label trial |
Single arm remdesivir trial with 145 hospitalized patients showing no statistically significant difference between "early" and "late" administration, however the treatment delays may be better described as late and very late. The text of the paper defines early and late as less than or more than 7 days from symptom onset, however the CONSORT diagram says during or after 7 days post admission.
Hosseini et al., 8/13/2021, preprint, 15 authors.
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Review |
Hoertel et al., Molecular Psychiatry, doi:10.1038/s41380-021-01254-3 (Review) (Peer Reviewed) |
review |
Repurposing antidepressants inhibiting the sphingomyelinase acid/ceramide system against COVID-19: current evidence and potential mechanisms |
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Review of the mechanisms of action and clinical studies for the treatment of COVID-19 with FIASMA antidepressants such as fluoxetine, fluvoxamine, paroxetine, escitalopram, or amitriptyline. |
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Review
Review
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| Hoertel et al., Molecular Psychiatry, doi:10.1038/s41380-021-01254-3 (Review) (Peer Reviewed) |
| Repurposing antidepressants inhibiting the sphingomyelinase acid/ceramide system against COVID-19: current evidence and potential mechanisms |
Review of the mechanisms of action and clinical studies for the treatment of COVID-19 with FIASMA antidepressants such as fluoxetine, fluvoxamine, paroxetine, escitalopram, or amitriptyline.
Hoertel et al., 8/12/2021, peer-reviewed, 12 authors.
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Levels |
di Filippo et al, The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism, doi:10.1210/clinem/dgab599
(Peer Reviewed) |
death, ↓10.7%, p=1.00 |
Vitamin D levels associate with blood glucose and BMI in COVID-19 patients predicting disease severity |
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Details
Retrospective 88 patients in Italy, showing vitamin D deficiency associated with severe cases, blood glucose, and BMI. |
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Levels
Analysis of outcomes based on serum levels
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| di Filippo et al, The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism, doi:10.1210/clinem/dgab599
(Peer Reviewed) |
| Vitamin D levels associate with blood glucose and BMI in COVID-19 patients predicting disease severity |
Retrospective 88 patients in Italy, showing vitamin D deficiency associated with severe cases, blood glucose, and BMI.
risk of death, 10.7% lower, RR 0.89, p = 1.00, treatment 5 of 28 (17.9%), control 12 of 60 (20.0%), >20ng/mL.
risk of ICU admission, 41.6% lower, RR 0.58, p = 0.22, treatment 6 of 28 (21.4%), control 22 of 60 (36.7%), >20ng/mL.
risk of COVID-19 severe case, 39.6% lower, RR 0.60, p = 0.04, treatment 11 of 28 (39.3%), control 39 of 60 (65.0%), >20ng/mL.
di Filippo et al., 8/12/2021, retrospective, Italy, Europe, peer-reviewed, 8 authors.
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Late |
Elavarasi et al., medRxiv, doi:10.1101/2021.08.10.21261855 (Preprint) |
death, ↓19.6%, p=0.12 |
Clinical features, demography and predictors of outcomes of SARS-CoV-2 infection in a tertiary care hospital in India - a cohort study |
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Details
Retrospective 2017 hospitalized patients in India, showing lower mortality with ivermectin treatment in unadjusted results. No group details are provided and this result is subject to confounding by indication. |
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Late treatment study
Late treatment study
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| Elavarasi et al., medRxiv, doi:10.1101/2021.08.10.21261855 (Preprint) |
| Clinical features, demography and predictors of outcomes of SARS-CoV-2 infection in a tertiary care hospital in India - a cohort study |
Retrospective 2017 hospitalized patients in India, showing lower mortality with ivermectin treatment in unadjusted results. No group details are provided and this result is subject to confounding by indication.
risk of death, 19.6% lower, RR 0.80, p = 0.12, treatment 48 of 283 (17.0%), control 311 of 1475 (21.1%), unadjusted.
Elavarasi et al., 8/12/2021, retrospective, India, South Asia, preprint, 26 authors.
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N/A |
Pedroso et al., The Brazilian Journal of Infectious Diseases, doi:10.1016/j.bjid.2021.101603 (Peer Reviewed) |
Self-prescribed Ivermectin use is associated with a lower rate of seroconversion in health care workers diagnosed with COVID, in a dose-dependent response |
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Details
Retrospective 45 healthcare workes in Brazil, showing lower creation of antibodies with multiple doses of ivermectin, which may be expected due to the antiviral activity as demonstrated in multiple studies. Authors appear unaware of these.. |
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N/A
N/A
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| Pedroso et al., The Brazilian Journal of Infectious Diseases, doi:10.1016/j.bjid.2021.101603 (Peer Reviewed) |
| Self-prescribed Ivermectin use is associated with a lower rate of seroconversion in health care workers diagnosed with COVID, in a dose-dependent response |
Retrospective 45 healthcare workes in Brazil, showing lower creation of antibodies with multiple doses of ivermectin, which may be expected due to the antiviral activity as demonstrated in multiple studies. Authors appear unaware of these studies, citing only earlier in vitro research, which they misinterpret to suggest that therapeutic concentrations are not reached (for details on why this is incorrect see [1]). Authors combine no dose and one dose. Clinical outcomes and timing of treatment are not provided.
Pedroso et al., 8/12/2021, peer-reviewed, 11 authors.
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Levels |
Alpcan et al., Epidemiology & Infection, doi:10.1017/S0950268821001825 (Peer Reviewed) |
cases, ↓44.6%, p=0.0004 |
Vitamin D levels in children with COVID-19: a report from Turkey |
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Details
Retrospective 75 COVID-19 hospitalized pediatric patients in Turkey and 80 healthy controls, showing significantly lower vitamin D levels in COVID-19 patients. |
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Levels
Analysis of outcomes based on serum levels
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| Alpcan et al., Epidemiology & Infection, doi:10.1017/S0950268821001825 (Peer Reviewed) |
| Vitamin D levels in children with COVID-19: a report from Turkey |
Retrospective 75 COVID-19 hospitalized pediatric patients in Turkey and 80 healthy controls, showing significantly lower vitamin D levels in COVID-19 patients.
risk of COVID-19 case, 44.6% lower, RR 0.55, p < 0.001, treatment 42 of 108 (38.9%), control 33 of 47 (70.2%), >20ng/mL.
Alpcan et al., 8/10/2021, retrospective, Turkey, Europe, peer-reviewed, 3 authors.
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News |
La Pampa, Argentina (News) |
death, ↓27.4% |
La Pampa expondrá a la comunidad científica los resultados del Programa de Intervención Monitoreado de Ivermectina |
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Details
News report on the use of ivermectin in La Pampa, Argentina, showing lower mortality with treatment. |
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News
News
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| La Pampa, Argentina (News) |
| La Pampa expondrá a la comunidad científica los resultados del Programa de Intervención Monitoreado de Ivermectina |
News report on the use of ivermectin in La Pampa, Argentina, showing lower mortality with treatment.
risk of death, 27.4% lower, RR 0.73, treatment 3269, control 18149.
risk of combined death/ICU, 38.0% lower, RR 0.62, treatment 3269, control 18149.
risk of death, 33.4% lower, RR 0.67, treatment 3269, control 18149, >40yo.
risk of death, 44.0% lower, RR 0.56, treatment 3269, control 18149, >40yo including comorbidities.
La Pampa et al., 8/10/2021, retrospective, Argentina, South America, preprint, 1 author.
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PEP |
Shabani et al., Pulmonary Pharmacology & Therapeutics, doi:10.1016/j.pupt.2021.102069 (Peer Reviewed) |
symp. case, ↓19.0%, p=1.00 |
Evaluation of the Prophylactic Effect of Hydroxychloroquine on People in Close-Contact with Patients with Covid-19 |
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Details
Small PEP trial with 51 HCQ patients, not showing a significant difference in cases. IRCT20130917014693N10. |
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Post Exposure Prophylaxis study
Post Exposure Prophylaxis study
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| Shabani et al., Pulmonary Pharmacology & Therapeutics, doi:10.1016/j.pupt.2021.102069 (Peer Reviewed) |
| Evaluation of the Prophylactic Effect of Hydroxychloroquine on People in Close-Contact with Patients with Covid-19 |
Small PEP trial with 51 HCQ patients, not showing a significant difference in cases. IRCT20130917014693N10.
risk of symptomatic case, 19.0% lower, RR 0.81, p = 1.00, treatment 2 of 51 (3.9%), control 3 of 62 (4.8%), day 7.
risk of COVID-19 case, 6.4% higher, RR 1.06, p = 1.00, treatment 7 of 51 (13.7%), control 8 of 62 (12.9%), day 7, PCR+ and symptomatic.
risk of COVID-19 case, 21.6% higher, RR 1.22, p = 0.78, treatment 7 of 51 (13.7%), control 7 of 62 (11.3%), day 7, PCR+ only.
Shabani et al., 8/10/2021, prospective, Iran, Middle East, peer-reviewed, 16 authors.
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News |
Calderón et al., News Report (News) |
news |
Mantiene Hospital Mónica Pretelini bajo índice de muertes Covid de mujeres embarazadas |
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Details
News report on the use of nitazoxanide for pregnant COVID-19 patients in a clinic in Mexico, reporting significant improvements in hospitalization and mortality compared to locations without treatment. |
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News
News
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| Calderón et al., News Report (News) |
| Mantiene Hospital Mónica Pretelini bajo índice de muertes Covid de mujeres embarazadas |
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News report on the use of nitazoxanide for pregnant COVID-19 patients in a clinic in Mexico, reporting significant improvements in hospitalization and mortality compared to locations without treatment.
Calderón et al., 8/10/2021, preprint, 1 author.
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Late |
Kuno et al., Journal of Antimicrobial Chemotherapy, doi:10.1093/jac/dkab256 (Peer Reviewed) |
death, ↓0.9%, p=0.96 |
The association of remdesivir and in-hospital outcomes for COVID-19 patients treated with steroids
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Details
PSM retrospective 3,372 hospitalized patients in the USA treated with steroids, showing no significant difference in mortality with remdesivir, but a lower risk of acute kidney injury. |
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Late treatment study
Late treatment study
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| Kuno et al., Journal of Antimicrobial Chemotherapy, doi:10.1093/jac/dkab256 (Peer Reviewed) |
| The association of remdesivir and in-hospital outcomes for COVID-19 patients treated with steroids
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PSM retrospective 3,372 hospitalized patients in the USA treated with steroids, showing no significant difference in mortality with remdesivir, but a lower risk of acute kidney injury.
risk of death, 0.9% lower, RR 0.99, p = 0.96, treatment 214 of 999 (21.4%), control 216 of 999 (21.6%), PSM.
risk of mechanical ventilation, no change, RR 1.00, p = 1.00, treatment 140 of 999 (14.0%), control 140 of 999 (14.0%), PSM.
risk of ICU admission, 17.1% higher, RR 1.17, p = 0.05, treatment 260 of 999 (26.0%), control 222 of 999 (22.2%), PSM.
Kuno et al., 8/9/2021, retrospective, propensity score matching, USA, North America, peer-reviewed, 6 authors.
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Review |
Kow et al., American Journal of Therapeutics, doi:10.1097/MJT.0000000000001441 (Review) (Peer Reviewed) |
review |
Pitfalls in Reporting Sample Size Calculation Across Randomized Controlled Trials Involving Ivermectin for the treatment of COVID-19 |
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Review of sample size calculations in ivermectin RCTs, showing that existing RCTs are very underpowered. |
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Review
Review
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| Kow et al., American Journal of Therapeutics, doi:10.1097/MJT.0000000000001441 (Review) (Peer Reviewed) |
| Pitfalls in Reporting Sample Size Calculation Across Randomized Controlled Trials Involving Ivermectin for the treatment of COVID-19 |
Review of sample size calculations in ivermectin RCTs, showing that existing RCTs are very underpowered.
Kow et al., 8/6/2021, peer-reviewed, 2 authors.
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Early |
Together Trial (News) |
death, ↓18.0%, p=0.54 |
Early Treatment of COVID-19 with Repurposed Therapies: The TOGETHER Adaptive Platform Trial |
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Details
Preliminary report from the Together Trial showing mortality RR 0.82 [0.44-1.52].
The trial randomization chart suggests major problems and does not match the protocol. Trial week 42, the first week for 3 dose ivermectin, shows ~3x pati.. |
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Early treatment study
Early treatment study
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| Together Trial (News) |
| Early Treatment of COVID-19 with Repurposed Therapies: The TOGETHER Adaptive Platform Trial |
Preliminary report from the Together Trial showing mortality RR 0.82 [0.44-1.52]. The trial randomization chart suggests major problems and does not match the protocol. Trial week 42, the first week for 3 dose ivermectin, shows ~3x patients assigned to ivermectin vs. placebo. Since overall treatment improves over time, and because the distribution of variants continually changes and shows significant differences in outcomes, this invalidates the randomization of the trial. (More patients assigned to treatment groups earlier has often been used to hide efficacy in COVID-19 trials done over periods where treatment protocols improved rapidly). Minas Gerais statistics show a period of declining CFR shortly after the time of excess assignment to ivermectin. The total numbers for the ivermectin and placebo groups also do not appear to match the totals in the presentation - reaching the number reported for ivermectin would require including some of the patients assigned to single dose ivermectin. Reaching the placebo number requires including placebo patients from the much earlier ivermectin single dose period, and from the early two week period when zero ivermectin patients were assigned.Treatment delay is currently unknown, however the protocol allows very late inclusion and a companion trial reported mostly late treatment. Overall mortality is high for 18+ outpatients. Results may be impacted by late treatment, poor SOC, and may be specific to local variants [1, 2]. Treatment was administered on an empty stomach, greatly reducing expected tissue concentration and making the effective dose about 1/5th of current clinical practice. The trial was conducted in Minas Gerais, Brazil which had substantial community use of ivermectin [3], and prior use of ivermectin is not listed in the excluson criteria.Time from symptom onset to randomization is specified as within 7 days. However the schedule of study activities specifies treatment administration only one day after randomization, suggesting that treatment was delayed an additional day for all patients.There is a very unusual inclusion criteria: "patients with expected hospital stays of <= 5 days". This is similar to "patients less likely to need treatment beyond SOC to recover", and would make it very easy to reduce the effect seen. This is not in either of the published protocols.Trial design, analysis, and presentation suggest investigator bias. Design: including very late treatment, additional day before administration, including low-risk patients, operation in a region with high community use, specifying administration on an empty stomach, limiting treatment to 3 days, using soft inclusion criterion and a soft primary outcome, easily subject to bias (e.g., observe all patients >6 hours). Analysis: authors perform analysis excluding events very shortly after randomization for fluvoxamine but not ivermectin, and report viral load results for fluvoxamine but not ivermectin.There are two published protocols, both are called "version 1", we refer to them as 1A (3/11/21 [4]) and 1B (8/5/21 [5]).1B deletes: - subgroup analysis by treatment delay. - "Amendments to the protocol, except when necessary to eliminate an immediate danger to participants, should be made only with the prior approval of the steering committee. Each applicable regulatory authority and EC must review and approve the amendments before they are implemented."1B adds: "we hypothesize that younger patients will benefit more than older patients"If you are a trial participant please contact us below. For other issues see: [6, 7].
risk of death, 18.0% lower, RR 0.82, p = 0.54, treatment 18 of 677 (2.7%), control 22 of 678 (3.2%).
extended ER observation or hospitalization, 9.0% lower, RR 0.91, p = 0.51, treatment 86 of 677 (12.7%), control 95 of 678 (14.0%).
Together Trial et al., 8/6/2021, Double Blind Randomized Controlled Trial, Brazil, South America, preprint, 1 author.
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Levels |
Nimavat et al., Annals of Medicine and Surgery, doi:10.1016/j.amsu.2021.102661 (Peer Reviewed) |
death, ↓50.4%, p=0.17 |
Vitamin D deficiency and COVID-19: A case-control study at a tertiary care hospital in India |
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Details
Case control study with 156 PCR+ cases in India and 204 controls, showing more frequent vitamin D deficiency in COVID-19 patients, and an association between lower vitamin D levels and COVID-19 severity. |
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Details
Source
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Levels
Analysis of outcomes based on serum levels
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| Nimavat et al., Annals of Medicine and Surgery, doi:10.1016/j.amsu.2021.102661 (Peer Reviewed) |
| Vitamin D deficiency and COVID-19: A case-control study at a tertiary care hospital in India |
Case control study with 156 PCR+ cases in India and 204 controls, showing more frequent vitamin D deficiency in COVID-19 patients, and an association between lower vitamin D levels and COVID-19 severity.
risk of death, 50.4% lower, RR 0.50, p = 0.17, treatment 13 of 131 (9.9%), control 5 of 25 (20.0%), >10ng/mL, within cases.
risk of COVID-19 severe case, 67.6% lower, RR 0.32, p = 0.003, treatment 17 of 131 (13.0%), control 10 of 25 (40.0%), >10ng/mL, within cases.
Nimavat et al., 8/5/2021, retrospective, India, South Asia, peer-reviewed, 5 authors.
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Meta |
Anseems et al., Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, doi:10.1002/14651858.CD014962 (Preprint) (meta analysis) |
meta-analysis |
Remdesivir for the treatment of COVID‐19 |
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Details
Review of 5 RCTs prior to April 17, 2021 showing mortality RR 0.93 [0.81-1.06] for hospitalized patients. |
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Meta
Meta
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| Anseems et al., Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, doi:10.1002/14651858.CD014962 (Preprint) (meta analysis) |
| Remdesivir for the treatment of COVID‐19 |
|
Review of 5 RCTs prior to April 17, 2021 showing mortality RR 0.93 [0.81-1.06] for hospitalized patients.
Anseems et al., 8/5/2021, preprint, 10 authors.
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Meta |
Stricker et al., Journal of Infection and Public Health, doi:10.1016/j.jiph.2021.08.001 (Peer Reviewed) (meta analysis) |
death, ↓75.0%, p<0.0001 |
Hydroxychloroquine Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis for COVID-19 in Healthcare Workers from India: A Meta-Analysis |
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Details
Meta analysis of 11 HCQ PrEP studies in India covering 7,616 healthcare workers, showing significantly lower cases with treatment. |
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Details
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Meta
Meta
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| Stricker et al., Journal of Infection and Public Health, doi:10.1016/j.jiph.2021.08.001 (Peer Reviewed) (meta analysis) |
| Hydroxychloroquine Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis for COVID-19 in Healthcare Workers from India: A Meta-Analysis |
Meta analysis of 11 HCQ PrEP studies in India covering 7,616 healthcare workers, showing significantly lower cases with treatment.
risk of death, 75.0% lower, RR 0.25, p < 0.001, treatment 1273, control 4127, >=6 doses.
risk of death, 44.0% lower, RR 0.56, p = 0.004, treatment 3489, control 4127, any number of doses.
Stricker et al., 8/5/2021, peer-reviewed, 2 authors.
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In Silico |
Rana et al., Research Square, doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-755838/v1 (Preprint) |
A Computational Study of Ivermectin and Doxycycline Combination Drug Against SARS-CoV-2 Infection |
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Details
In silico study showing strong binding affinity of ivermectin and doxycycline for SARS-CoV-2 main protease 3CLpro, and increased binding affinity for the combination of both. |
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Details
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In Silico
In Silico
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| Rana et al., Research Square, doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-755838/v1 (Preprint) |
| A Computational Study of Ivermectin and Doxycycline Combination Drug Against SARS-CoV-2 Infection |
In silico study showing strong binding affinity of ivermectin and doxycycline for SARS-CoV-2 main protease 3CLpro, and increased binding affinity for the combination of both.
Rana et al., 8/5/2021, preprint, 3 authors.
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Late |
Zhang et al., Therapeutic Advances in Gastroenterology, doi:10.1177/17562848211035670
(Peer Reviewed) |
hosp. time, ↓13.6%, p=0.009 |
Probiotics use is associated with improved clinical outcomes among hospitalized patients with COVID-19 |
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Details
Retrospective 375 patients in China, 179 treated with probiotics, showing improved clinical outcomes with treatment. |
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Late treatment study
Late treatment study
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| Zhang et al., Therapeutic Advances in Gastroenterology, doi:10.1177/17562848211035670
(Peer Reviewed) |
| Probiotics use is associated with improved clinical outcomes among hospitalized patients with COVID-19 |
Retrospective 375 patients in China, 179 treated with probiotics, showing improved clinical outcomes with treatment.
hospitalization time, 13.6% lower, relative time 0.86, p = 0.009, treatment 150, control 150, PSM.
time to clinical improvement, 14.3% lower, relative time 0.86, p = 0.02, treatment 150, control 150, PSM.
time to viral-, 16.7% lower, relative time 0.83, p < 0.001, treatment 150, control 150, PSM.
Zhang et al., 8/4/2021, retrospective, China, Asia, peer-reviewed, 14 authors.
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Late |
Özuygur Ermiş et al., Turkish Journal of Medical Sciences, doi:10.3906/sag-2009-64 (Peer Reviewed) |
The Efficacy of Hydroxychloroquine and Azithromycin Combination Therapy on Hospital Mortality in COVID 19 Pneumonia Patients |
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Retrospective 370 hospitalized patients, 222 receiving HCQ+AZ and 148 receiving HCQ, showing mortality OR 0.61 [0.23-1.59], p = 0.31 for the addition of AZ. |
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Late treatment study
Late treatment study
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| Özuygur Ermiş et al., Turkish Journal of Medical Sciences, doi:10.3906/sag-2009-64 (Peer Reviewed) |
| The Efficacy of Hydroxychloroquine and Azithromycin Combination Therapy on Hospital Mortality in COVID 19 Pneumonia Patients |
Retrospective 370 hospitalized patients, 222 receiving HCQ+AZ and 148 receiving HCQ, showing mortality OR 0.61 [0.23-1.59], p = 0.31 for the addition of AZ.
Özuygur Ermiş et al., 8/4/2021, peer-reviewed, 13 authors.
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PrEP |
Bhatt et al., medRxiv, doi:10.1101/2021.08.02.21260750 (Preprint) |
cases, ↑49.3%, p=0.02 |
Hydroxychloroquine Prophylaxis against Coronavirus Disease-19: Practice Outcomes among Health-Care Workers |
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Details
Observational study of 927 low-risk healthcare workers in India, 731 volunteering for weekly HCQ prophylaxis, showing higher cases with treatment in unadjusted results. Clinical outcome was in the protocol, however no information on which.. |
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Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis study
Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis study
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| Bhatt et al., medRxiv, doi:10.1101/2021.08.02.21260750 (Preprint) |
| Hydroxychloroquine Prophylaxis against Coronavirus Disease-19: Practice Outcomes among Health-Care Workers |
Observational study of 927 low-risk healthcare workers in India, 731 volunteering for weekly HCQ prophylaxis, showing higher cases with treatment in unadjusted results. Clinical outcome was in the protocol, however no information on which patients were symptomatic is provided. There were no adverse events and no hospitalizations or deaths. Adherence was very low, decreasing weekly, with almost all participants discontinuing by week 11. The majority of infections occurred in later weeks when adherence was very low, and there was no per protocol analysis. #ECR/206/Inst/GJ/2013/RR-20.
risk of COVID-19 case, 49.3% higher, RR 1.49, p = 0.02, treatment 167 of 731 (22.8%), control 30 of 196 (15.3%).
Bhatt et al., 8/4/2021, prospective, India, South Asia, preprint, 4 authors.
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Late |
Alghamdi et al., Saudi Pharmaceutical Journal, doi:10.1016/j.jsps.2021.08.008 (Peer Reviewed) |
death, ↑39.2%, p=0.52 |
Clinical characteristics and treatment outcomes of severe (ICU) COVID-19 patients in Saudi Arabia: A single centre study |
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Retrospective 171 ICU patients in Saudi Arabia showing no significant difference for HCQ treatment in unadjusted results. |
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Late treatment study
Late treatment study
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| Alghamdi et al., Saudi Pharmaceutical Journal, doi:10.1016/j.jsps.2021.08.008 (Peer Reviewed) |
| Clinical characteristics and treatment outcomes of severe (ICU) COVID-19 patients in Saudi Arabia: A single centre study |
Retrospective 171 ICU patients in Saudi Arabia showing no significant difference for HCQ treatment in unadjusted results.
risk of death, 39.2% higher, RR 1.39, p = 0.52, treatment 29 of 128 (22.7%), control 7 of 43 (16.3%).
Alghamdi et al., 8/4/2021, retrospective, Saudi Arabia, Middle East, peer-reviewed, 1 author.
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Review |
Santin et al., New Microbes and New Infections, doi:10.1016/j.nmni.2021.100924 (Review) (Peer Reviewed) |
review |
Ivermectin: a multifaceted drug of Nobel prize-honored distinction with indicated efficacy against a new global scourge, COVID-19 |
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Details
Review concluding that the evidence supports worldwide use of ivermectin for COVID-19, complementary to immunization. Authors note that it is likely non-epitope specific, possibly retaining efficacy with new viral strains. They note that .. |
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Review
Review
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| Santin et al., New Microbes and New Infections, doi:10.1016/j.nmni.2021.100924 (Review) (Peer Reviewed) |
| Ivermectin: a multifaceted drug of Nobel prize-honored distinction with indicated efficacy against a new global scourge, COVID-19 |
Review concluding that the evidence supports worldwide use of ivermectin for COVID-19, complementary to immunization. Authors note that it is likely non-epitope specific, possibly retaining efficacy with new viral strains. They note that ivermectin has been safely used with 3.7 billion doses since 1987, is well tolerated even at much greater than standard doses, and has been used without serious AEs in high-dose COVID-19 treatment studies.
Santin et al., 8/3/2021, peer-reviewed, 5 authors.
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Late |
Barra et al., medRxiv, doi:10.1101/2021.07.30.21261220 (Preprint) |
death, ↓10.8%, p=1.00 |
COVID-19 in hospitalized patients in 4 hospitals in San Isidro, Buenos Aires, Argentina |
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Retrospective 668 hospitalized patients in Argentina, 18 treated with HCQ, not showing a significant difference in unadjusted results. |
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Late treatment study
Late treatment study
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| Barra et al., medRxiv, doi:10.1101/2021.07.30.21261220 (Preprint) |
| COVID-19 in hospitalized patients in 4 hospitals in San Isidro, Buenos Aires, Argentina |
Retrospective 668 hospitalized patients in Argentina, 18 treated with HCQ, not showing a significant difference in unadjusted results.
risk of death, 10.8% lower, RR 0.89, p = 1.00, treatment 2 of 18 (11.1%), control 81 of 650 (12.5%), unadjusted.
Barra et al., 7/31/2021, retrospective, Argentina, South America, preprint, 12 authors.
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Levels |
Matin et al., Archives of Microbiology, doi:10.1007/s00203-021-02482-5 (Peer Reviewed) |
cases, ↓66.1%, p<0.0001 |
The sufficient vitamin D and albumin level have a protective effect on COVID-19 infection |
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Details
Case control study with 191 COVID-19 patients and 203 healthy controls in Iran, showing an association between vitamin D deficiency and COVID-19 infection and severity. 84.4% of COVID-19 patients had vitamin D deficiency. |
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Levels
Analysis of outcomes based on serum levels
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| Matin et al., Archives of Microbiology, doi:10.1007/s00203-021-02482-5 (Peer Reviewed) |
| The sufficient vitamin D and albumin level have a protective effect on COVID-19 infection |
Case control study with 191 COVID-19 patients and 203 healthy controls in Iran, showing an association between vitamin D deficiency and COVID-19 infection and severity. 84.4% of COVID-19 patients had vitamin D deficiency.
risk of COVID-19 case, 66.1% lower, RR 0.34, p < 0.001, >20ng/mL, RR approximated with OR.
Matin et al., 7/30/2021, retrospective, case control, Iran, Middle East, peer-reviewed, 8 authors.
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Late |
Abdelwahab et al., Clinical Drug Investigation, doi:10.1007/s40261-021-01061-2 (Peer Reviewed) |
ventilation, ↑7.8%, p=0.93 |
Acetylsalicylic Acid Compared with Enoxaparin for the Prevention of Thrombosis and Mechanical Ventilation in COVID-19 Patients: A Retrospective Cohort Study |
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Retrospective 225 hospitalized patients in Egypt, showing significantly lower thromboembolic events with aspirin treatment, but no significant difference in the need for mechanical ventilation. |
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Late treatment study
Late treatment study
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| Abdelwahab et al., Clinical Drug Investigation, doi:10.1007/s40261-021-01061-2 (Peer Reviewed) |
| Acetylsalicylic Acid Compared with Enoxaparin for the Prevention of Thrombosis and Mechanical Ventilation in COVID-19 Patients: A Retrospective Cohort Study |
Retrospective 225 hospitalized patients in Egypt, showing significantly lower thromboembolic events with aspirin treatment, but no significant difference in the need for mechanical ventilation.
risk of mechanical ventilation, 7.8% higher, RR 1.08, p = 0.93, treatment 11 of 31 (35.5%), control 6 of 36 (16.7%), adjusted, OR converted to RR.
Abdelwahab et al., 7/30/2021, retrospective, Egypt, Africa, peer-reviewed, 17 authors.
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Meta |
Ghasemian et al., The International Journal of Clinical Practice, doi:10.1111/ijcp.14675 (Peer Reviewed) (meta analysis) |
meta-analysis |
The Role of Vitamin D in the Age of COVID-19: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis |
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Details
Systematic review and meta analysis of 23 studies, finding significantly higher risk of COVID-19 cases and severity with vitamin D deficiency. Mortality risk was higher with deficiency, but not reaching statistical significance, OR 1.6 [0.. |
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Meta
Meta
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| Ghasemian et al., The International Journal of Clinical Practice, doi:10.1111/ijcp.14675 (Peer Reviewed) (meta analysis) |
| The Role of Vitamin D in the Age of COVID-19: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis |
Systematic review and meta analysis of 23 studies, finding significantly higher risk of COVID-19 cases and severity with vitamin D deficiency. Mortality risk was higher with deficiency, but not reaching statistical significance, OR 1.6 [0.5-4.4].
Ghasemian et al., 7/29/2021, peer-reviewed, 25 authors.
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Early, PrEP |
Annweiler et al., The Journal of Steroid Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, doi:0.1016/j.jsbmb.2021.105958 (Peer Reviewed) |
death, ↓64.2%, p=0.002 |
Vitamin D supplementation prior to or during COVID-19 associated with better 3-month survival in geriatric patients: Extension phase of the GERIA-COVID study |
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Details
Report on extended results from the GERIA-COVID study, showing significantly lower mortality at 3 months with vitamin D treatment. Results combine prophylaxis and early treatment. |
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Early, PrEP
Early, PrEP
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| Annweiler et al., The Journal of Steroid Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, doi:0.1016/j.jsbmb.2021.105958 (Peer Reviewed) |
| Vitamin D supplementation prior to or during COVID-19 associated with better 3-month survival in geriatric patients: Extension phase of the GERIA-COVID study |
Report on extended results from the GERIA-COVID study, showing significantly lower mortality at 3 months with vitamin D treatment. Results combine prophylaxis and early treatment.
risk of death, 64.2% lower, RR 0.36, p = 0.002, treatment 16 of 67 (23.9%), control 13 of 28 (46.4%), adjusted, OR converted to RR, multiple Cox proportional hazards.
Annweiler et al., 7/29/2021, prospective, France, Europe, peer-reviewed, 7 authors.
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Early |
Sobngwi et al., medRxiv, doi:10.1101/2021.07.25.21260838 (Preprint) |
no recov., ↓51.6%, p=0.44 |
Doxycycline is a safe alternative to Hydroxychloroquine + Azithromycin to prevent clinical worsening and hospitalization in mild COVID-19 patients: An open label randomized clinical trial (DOXYCOV) |
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Details
RCT 194 mild/asymptomatic low-risk patients in Cameroon, 97 treated with HCQ+AZ and 97 treated with doxycycline, showing 2.1% symptomatic patients at day 10 with HCQ+AZ, versus 4.3% with doxycycline, but without statistical significance. .. |
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Early treatment study
Early treatment study
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| Sobngwi et al., medRxiv, doi:10.1101/2021.07.25.21260838 (Preprint) |
| Doxycycline is a safe alternative to Hydroxychloroquine + Azithromycin to prevent clinical worsening and hospitalization in mild COVID-19 patients: An open label randomized clinical trial (DOXYCOV) |
RCT 194 mild/asymptomatic low-risk patients in Cameroon, 97 treated with HCQ+AZ and 97 treated with doxycycline, showing 2.1% symptomatic patients at day 10 with HCQ+AZ, versus 4.3% with doxycycline, but without statistical significance. There were only 6 patients with symtoms at day 10. There was no mortality or hospitalization, and no major adverse events.
risk of no recovery, 51.6% lower, RR 0.48, p = 0.44, treatment 2 of 95 (2.1%), control 4 of 92 (4.3%), day 10.
risk of no recovery, 3.2% lower, RR 0.97, p = 1.00, treatment 18 of 95 (18.9%), control 18 of 92 (19.6%), day 3.
risk of no virological cure, 3.2% lower, RR 0.97, p = 0.88, treatment 32 of 95 (33.7%), control 32 of 92 (34.8%), day 10.
Sobngwi et al., 7/29/2021, Randomized Controlled Trial, Cameroon, Africa, preprint, 16 authors, this trial compares with another treatment - results may be better when compared to placebo.
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Meta |
Popp et al., Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, doi:10.1002/14651858.CD015017.pub2 (Preprint) (meta analysis) |
meta-analysis |
Ivermectin for preventing and treating COVID‐19 |
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Details
Outdated very biased retrospective meta analysis cherry-picking a small subset of studies, with a majority of results based on only 1 or 2 studies, showing positive (non-statistically significant) results for 10 of 11 primary outcomes acr.. |
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Meta
Meta
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| Popp et al., Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, doi:10.1002/14651858.CD015017.pub2 (Preprint) (meta analysis) |
| Ivermectin for preventing and treating COVID‐19 |
|
Outdated very biased retrospective meta analysis cherry-picking a small subset of studies, with a majority of results based on only 1 or 2 studies, showing positive (non-statistically significant) results for 10 of 11 primary outcomes across a total of 13 studies.This analysis splits up studies in order to dilute the effects and avoid statistical significance. However, we can consider the probability of 10 of 11 positive effects occurring due to chance for an ineffective treatment, which is very unlikely (p = 0.006), indicating efficacy.The study is entirely retrospective in the current version. The protocol is dated April 20, 2021, and the most recent study included is from March 9, 2021. The protocol was modified after publication in order to include a close to null result (Gonzalez et al. "patients discharged without respiratory deterioration or death at 28 days"), so the current protocol is dated July 28, 2021. The analysis may become partly prospective in the future if the authors do not continue to change the protocol.Authors excluded many studies by requiring results at a specific time, for example mortality, ventilation, etc. required results at exactly 28 days. Authors excluded all prophylaxis studies by requiring results at exactly 14 days.Studies comparing with other medications were excluded, however these studies confirm efficacy of ivermectin. The only case where they could overstate the efficacy of ivermectin is if the other medication was harmful. There is some evidence of this for excessive dosage/very late stage use, however that does not apply to any of the studies here.Studies using combined treatment were excluded, even when it is known that the other components have little or no effect. 3 of 4 RCTs with combined treatment use doxycycline in addition [1].Other studies were excluded by requiring PCR confirmation.Cochrane was reputable in the past, but is now controlled by pharmaceutical interests. For example, see the news related to the expulsion of founder Dr. Gøtzsche and the associated mass resignation of board members in protest [2]. For another example of Cochrane bias see [3].Authors report funding from the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research, which may be influenced by [4].Bias due to funding is ignored for both analyzed studies and Cochrane. For Cochrane funders see: [5, 6].The BiRD group gave the following early comment: "Yesterday’s Cochrane review surprisingly doesn’t take a pragmatic approach comparing ivermectin versus no ivermectin, like in the majority of other existing reviews. It uses a granular approach similar to WHO’s and the flawed Roman et al paper, splitting studies up and thereby diluting effects. Consequently, the uncertain conclusions add nothing to the evidence base. A further obfuscation of the evidence on ivermectin and an example of research waste. Funding conflicts of interests of the authors and of the journal concerned should be examined."
Popp et al., 7/28/2021, preprint, 8 authors.
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Levels |
Cozier et al., PLoS ONE, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0255132 (Peer Reviewed) |
cases, ↓38.6%, p=0.02 |
Lower serum 25(OH)D levels associated with higher risk of COVID-19 infection in U.S. Black women |
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Details
Prospective study of vitamin D levels and COVID-19 infection in the Black Women's Health Study, showing higher risk of infection for lower vitamin D levels. Vitamin D levels were from 3-7 years before infection. Levels at the time of infe.. |
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Levels
Analysis of outcomes based on serum levels
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| Cozier et al., PLoS ONE, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0255132 (Peer Reviewed) |
| Lower serum 25(OH)D levels associated with higher risk of COVID-19 infection in U.S. Black women |
Prospective study of vitamin D levels and COVID-19 infection in the Black Women's Health Study, showing higher risk of infection for lower vitamin D levels. Vitamin D levels were from 3-7 years before infection. Levels at the time of infection may differ, which may reduce the size of the effect observed.
risk of COVID-19 case, 38.6% lower, RR 0.61, p = 0.02, treatment 94 of 1601 (5.9%), control 33 of 373 (8.8%), adjusted, OR converted to RR, >20ng/mL, multivariable.
Cozier et al., 7/27/2021, prospective, USA, North America, peer-reviewed, 6 authors.
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PrEP |
Israel et al., Epidemiology and Global Health Microbiology and Infectious Disease, doi:10.7554/eLife.68165 (Peer Reviewed) |
hosp., ↓9.1%, p=0.003 |
Identification of drugs associated with reduced severity of COVID-19: A case-control study in a large population |
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Details
Case control study examining medication usage with a healthcare database in Israel, showing lower risk of hospitalization with vitamin D (defined as being picked up within 35 days prior to PCR+). Other patients may have acquired vitamin D.. |
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Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis study
Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis study
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| Israel et al., Epidemiology and Global Health Microbiology and Infectious Disease, doi:10.7554/eLife.68165 (Peer Reviewed) |
| Identification of drugs associated with reduced severity of COVID-19: A case-control study in a large population |
Case control study examining medication usage with a healthcare database in Israel, showing lower risk of hospitalization with vitamin D (defined as being picked up within 35 days prior to PCR+). Other patients may have acquired vitamin D supplements outside of the healthcare system.
risk of hospitalization, 9.1% lower, RR 0.91, p = 0.003, treatment 737 of 2406 (30.6%), control 6216 of 18453 (33.7%), OR converted to RR, PCR+, cohort 2.
Israel et al., 7/27/2021, retrospective, Israel, Middle East, peer-reviewed, 10 authors.
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In Vitro |
Alsaidi et al., Marine Drugs, doi:10.3390/md19080418 (Peer Reviewed) (In Vitro) |
in vitro |
Griffithsin and Carrageenan Combination Results in Antiviral Synergy against SARS-CoV-1 and 2 in a Pseudoviral Model |
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Details
In Vitro and In Silico analysis showing SARS-CoV-2 antiviral activity of carageenan, and synergistic activity from the combination of carrageenan and griffithsin. |
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In Vitro
In Vitro
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| Alsaidi et al., Marine Drugs, doi:10.3390/md19080418 (Peer Reviewed) (In Vitro) |
| Griffithsin and Carrageenan Combination Results in Antiviral Synergy against SARS-CoV-1 and 2 in a Pseudoviral Model |
In Vitro and In Silico analysis showing SARS-CoV-2 antiviral activity of carageenan, and synergistic activity from the combination of carrageenan and griffithsin.
Alsaidi et al., 7/26/2021, peer-reviewed, 12 authors.
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Early |
Ontai et al., medRxiv, doi:10.1101/2021.07.21.21260223 (Preprint) |
Early multidrug treatment of SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) and decreased case fatality rates in Honduras
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Details
Report on the nationwide implementation of multi-drug COVID-19 inpatient and outpatient treatment protocols in Honduras, showing a case fatality rate decrease from 9.33% to 2.97%. No decrease was seen in Mexico, a similar Latin American c.. |
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Early treatment study
Early treatment study
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| Ontai et al., medRxiv, doi:10.1101/2021.07.21.21260223 (Preprint) |
| Early multidrug treatment of SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) and decreased case fatality rates in Honduras
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Report on the nationwide implementation of multi-drug COVID-19 inpatient and outpatient treatment protocols in Honduras, showing a case fatality rate decrease from 9.33% to 2.97%. No decrease was seen in Mexico, a similar Latin American country that did not introduce multi-drug treatment protocols at that time. Decreases in COVID-19 case fatality rates in Honduras were associated with both the initial publication of the protocol and a subsequent outreach program. Both inpatient and outpatient protocols include ivermectin as one component.
Ontai et al., 7/25/2021, preprint, 6 authors.
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Early |
Cadegiani et al., medRxiv, doi:10.1101/2021.07.24.21261047 (Preprint) |
Proxalutamide Improves Inflammatory, Immunologic, and Thrombogenic Markers in Mild-to-Moderate COVID-19 Males and Females: an Exploratory Analysis of a Randomized, Double-Blinded, Placebo-Controlled Trial Early Antiandrogen Therapy (EAT) with Proxalutamide (The EAT-Proxa Biochemical AndroCoV-Trial) |
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Details
Analysis of data from two proxalutamide early treatment RCTs with 445 patients showing substantial improvements in immunologic, inflammatory, thrombotic, and oxygen markers, which may support the observed reduction in hospitalization. |
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Early treatment study
Early treatment study
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| Cadegiani et al., medRxiv, doi:10.1101/2021.07.24.21261047 (Preprint) |
| Proxalutamide Improves Inflammatory, Immunologic, and Thrombogenic Markers in Mild-to-Moderate COVID-19 Males and Females: an Exploratory Analysis of a Randomized, Double-Blinded, Placebo-Controlled Trial Early Antiandrogen Therapy (EAT) with Proxalutamide (The EAT-Proxa Biochemical AndroCoV-Trial) |
Analysis of data from two proxalutamide early treatment RCTs with 445 patients showing substantial improvements in immunologic, inflammatory, thrombotic, and oxygen markers, which may support the observed reduction in hospitalization.
Cadegiani et al., 7/25/2021, preprint, 4 authors.
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News |
World Ivermectin Day (News) |
news |
World Ivermectin Day |
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Details
Joint event by 22 worldwide organizations. |
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News
News
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| World Ivermectin Day (News) |
| World Ivermectin Day |
Joint event by 22 worldwide organizations.
World Ivermectin Day et al., 7/24/2021, preprint, 1 author.
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